Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 3.224763 3.777823 4.367075 5.038505 5.779243 6.568462 7.469840
2024-10-20 2.422904 3.179549 4.046889 5.101221 6.334735 7.719264 9.377556
2024-10-27 1.797331 2.640916 3.678492 5.016265 6.663084 8.593145 10.994300
2024-11-03 1.436021 2.342845 3.530872 5.141411 7.208058 9.713968 12.923252
2024-11-10 1.151634 2.083599 3.380640 5.221512 7.671797 10.730643 14.744084
2024-11-17 0.878900 1.781423 3.120815 5.112497 7.860457 11.387578 16.121310
2024-11-24 0.663352 1.516799 2.869487 4.974787 7.979845 11.936990 17.357445
2024-12-01 0.518177 1.333368 2.708248 4.938126 8.217083 12.630526 18.780690
2024-12-08 0.398467 1.164306 2.541873 4.869494 8.391801 13.231894 20.085110
2024-12-15 0.348468 1.119509 2.572352 5.098054 8.995232 14.424836 22.193968
2024-12-22 0.280631 1.017683 2.488470 5.133841 9.309631 15.220580 23.780336
2024-12-29 0.252801 1.000289 2.552724 5.409879 9.988507 16.537370 26.094726
2025-01-05 0.218881 0.960921 2.574968 5.623442 10.590966 17.777409 28.354015
2025-01-12 0.178520 0.891161 2.529074 5.716621 11.010145 18.766494 30.289226
2025-01-19 0.132250 0.784062 2.391377 5.636728 11.150583 19.352916 31.672910
2025-01-26 0.109360 0.740627 2.380154 5.778464 11.644722 20.462565 33.806693
2025-02-02 0.087519 0.689505 2.343644 5.868293 12.053670 21.450840 35.780456
2025-02-09 0.060771 0.599990 2.203753 5.751318 12.114342 21.917231 37.014065
2025-02-16 0.039734 0.514343 2.055433 5.602350 12.109644 22.278466 38.096000
2025-02-23 0.027182 0.457385 1.967558 5.562811 12.284075 22.910701 39.575192
2025-03-02 0.017293 0.400593 1.867637 5.488333 12.391336 23.437438 40.904112
2025-03-09 0.014837 0.398322 1.921337 5.736841 13.069883 24.861495 43.569461
2025-03-16 0.010063 0.365225 1.878345 5.775751 13.377117 25.709030 45.392920